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Basic Probability

Mathematics, Probability and Poker


Contents


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Secretary Problem


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Game Theory


Prisoner's Dilemma


In the Prisoner's Dilemma two people are have been arrested for a crime. They're guilty. But to get a conviction of the actual crime, instead of a lesser offense, the cops need a confession. They are willing to make a deal, but only for one of them.

If one of them confesses and the other doesn't then the one who confessed goes free and the other gets 20 years.

But if they both confess they'll each get 5 years, nobody goes free.

If they both keep their mouths shut they'll be convicted of a lesser charge and each will get 2 years.



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Alspach's Mathematics and Poker Page
Brian Alspach used to write a regular column on combinatorics for Poker Digest. He's a retired math professor from Simon Fraser University.
Tom Ferguson's home page
He's a math ;professor at UCLA and Chris Ferguson's father.
MathPages.com
A collection of straight-forward introductions to various topics in mathematics and recreational mathematics.


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Kelly betting

These are all somewhat technical articles.